In 2017, the total national energy production will be about 3.67 billion tons of standard coal, coal production will be about 3.65 billion tons, crude oil production will be about 200 million tons, natural gas production will be 170 billion cubic meters, and the scale of newly-started hydropower and nuclear power will be 20 million respectively. The newly added wind power and photovoltaic grid-connected installed capacity are 20 million kilowatts and 18 million kilowatts, respectively. This is the information that the reporter of "Economic Information Daily" learned from the 2017 National Energy Work Conference on December 27.
It is worth noting that the eight major tasks of energy development next year will be very high. In addition to coal, efforts should be made to focus on solving the problem of overcapacity in coal power. According to reports, this year's coal-fired power installed capacity plus projects that have already received "Roads" amounted to 1.13 billion kilowatts, which has exceeded the "13th Five-Year Plan" control line of 1.1 billion kilowatts. Nur Bekri, deputy director of the National Development and Reform Commission and director of the National Energy Administration, said frankly at the meeting that the new space for coal power is getting smaller and smaller, and the industry will face the risk of loss next year.
The eight major tasks of energy in 2017 are the first to reduce production capacity
According to Nur Bekri, the installed capacity of coal-fired power is expected to be around 950 million kilowatts this year. In addition, there are a number of projects that have already started and have been released, especially the people's livelihood projects, which will soon be completed and put into production.
The reality is that the growth rate of electricity consumption in the whole society has been declining in the past two years. In 2015, it was only 0.5%. From January to November 2016, it increased by 5.0% year-on-year, and the growth rate was 4.2 percentage points higher than the same period of the previous year. The average utilization hours of thermal power equipment nationwide has been continuously declining. Last year it was 4468 hours, and it was 3756 hours in the first 11 months of this year, a decrease of 204 hours year-on-year and a low level since 2005.
To make matters worse, the price of thermal coal has continued to rise since June this year as coal has progressed in resolving excess production capacity. Under the double attack, the operating conditions of power generation companies are worrying. "Economic Information Daily" reporter combed and found that among the 30 listed A-share companies whose main business is coal power, 70% of the overall operating income in the first three quarters of 2016 had a negative growth, and only 30% achieved a flat or positive increase. increase.
"This year is expected to be about 4,300 hours, and next year it will be even lower, estimated to be about 4,100 hours." Nur Bekri said that with the recovery of coal prices and the rise of coal power installed capacity, the number of coal power utilization hours will fall again. , Coal power life will become more and more difficult. If the control is not good, it is very likely to repeat the mistakes of coal. The Central Economic Work Conference focused on the problem of coal power surplus. We must attach great importance to it and further strengthen the control. The slowdown should be slowed down, and the brakes should be braked, especially those with high energy consumption, high pollution, and construction procedures that have not obtained legal approval. s project.
It is worth noting that there are still 180 million projects in the country that have already received "roads" and scales. "For these projects, the relevant approval construction regulations must be strictly implemented, and construction shall be stopped if the construction procedures are not complete. The energy authorities at all levels must firmly grasp this threshold and not include an illegal project." Nur· Bai Keli said.